Our mission, as God-fearing and God-loving patriots, is to defend this Constitutional Republic and to increase its greatness, in all good things and ways, by using our voices in free but courteous speech, by discussing the happenings of the world and coming to a profound understanding of those things, and by sharing and promulgating these Truths on both this platform and others.
We have created this site as a place for people to openly express their thoughts and opinions. This is a place where honest but civil discussion of all topics is encouraged. This particular thread is – for the moment – TRUST THE PLAN Thursday. You are welcome to say what you think, in a civil and courteous manner that loves your neighbor. Free speech matters! Courteous speech makes it happen.
Please label all AI-generated content as being such, unless it is patently obvious (e.g., humorous AI images). It is important that we as individuals not begin to pretend that socially derived artificial intelligence is actually our own, as this form of stealthy social information averaging and feedback would be one more pretense and deception between people, in service of stupid Marxist socialism, and of those who wish to substitute their communally protected lies for actual truth.
You are you. AI is AI. Keep your identity. Don’t “Borg Out” on us!
And yes, it’s THURSDAY…again.
That was stolen from Wheatie.
Let’s steal her rules, too.
No food fights.
No running with scissors.
If you bring snacks, bring enough for everyone.
Other rules may be derivable from these, and that conjecture is left for discussion.
No, I’m not going to cite some researcher – some MSM publication – some “source”.
I don’t care what Margaret Brennan or Neil DeGrasse Tyson thinks about it. I’m fully prepared to do my own thinking, and (in my opinion) you should, too – whether you trust or believe evolutionary theory, or not.
You don’t need an authority to tell you to believe the obvious. Believe BACK at all authority.
Which is actually – very ironically – what this post is about. It’s WHY evolution favors religious belief – because – OMG – people obviously, by and large, believe, religiously, in God, or something like God.
What I am saying is that the default position of evolution – that “it’s there because it works” must be applied to mankind’s tendency toward religious belief – whether or not we choose to explain it – whether or not we like it.
Evolution’s first position is that it’s there because it works. And if it has been there a long time, even more so.
And by WORKS, we are saying – to varying but non-zero degrees – that it has some kind of advantage over both potential and actual alternatives.
This remarkable trivial truth is what I would classify as a “self-evident truth” – because anybody with common sense can see that evolutionary theory is in a complete paradox and hem-haw disarray otherwise. The obvious and nearly universal human tendency toward religious belief clearly outlasted millions of years of active Darwinian removal of problems. We don’t have to explain why. Science can do so if it chooses, or it can punt the ball. Doesn’t matter to the facts. Those facts simply ARE.
Evolution likes religion. DEAL.
Explanations of the (to them) annoying fact by materialists and atheists tend to try to paint the evolutionary truth into some corner of randomness or error, but that doesn’t even get to first base with me – a diehard evolutionist – and it should not cut it with you. Major features have alternatives, and when those alternatives are absent, or demonstrate obvious problems when they are not absent, it becomes too patently obvious that the existing feature is advantageous, and the alternatives are not.
Evolutionary mistakes are the exception, not the rule, and the longer something is conserved, the more likely it’s not a mistake, but actually favored. We have to look at Occam’s Razor – right? RIGHT? Because watch any evolutionary argument, and that’s what happens. Conservation through “big time” is always considered prima facie evidence of advantage, in evolution. One simply has to do work to find the advantage and convince others WHY.
Or just rest – for the moment – on the truth nobody wants to talk about. Evolution favored religious belief.
Here is the TL;DR –
Religious belief is one of the things that makes you human. Religion may say so, but evolution says so, too.
Religion says “because”. Evolution says “because it’s there”. And what do you know – religious belief is there.
Enjoy it. And don’t bother with external validation, because YOU are the validation. Your eyes, your ears, your brain, and your logic. Most of all, your belief.
It took me a while to put this together, but thanks to redlegleader68 and GAB it finally became obvious.
Well, with some assistance from Aubergine, too.
One of the TRICKS with using Aubergine’s Razor (and also with debugging Occam’s Razor for deception) is that one must be ITERATIVE. You can’t just stop using it or doing it – you have to KEEP GOING because the DECEIVERS will KEEP GOING.
NOW – I had seen THIS MEME from “chan world” and said to myself “sure sounds plausible, but could just be another speculative conspiracy theory, and I’m just gonna leave it alone.“
You will note that I am not providing a TEXT VERSION of this. I’m not going to make one, either, and I’m asking all of you VERY KINDLY (ban hammer circling over my head) NOT to transcribe this. Leave it alone. Zoe is going to have to take this one on faith. No AI – American or European – is going to WARN the Dems.
MEMES ARE IMPORTANT
There are no text versions of this out there. Whether they are simply not there or being SCRUBBED doesn’t matter. If you search the text of the meme – stuff that is strongly diagnostic and usually retrieves results, you get NADA. Put Governor Hogan’s name in there, and you get fluffy good stuff. You will not see any bad, like this meme.
Please don’t change this situation. Don’t quote text out of the meme, more than a word or two to spot sentences. I believe that we have been given a WINDOW OF OPPORTUNITY so that justice can happen. Look very high for where that came from.
OMG – didn’t WE have problems with contamination with the CDC test kits, and then they had to abandon their first tests?
What if somebody tried to SABOTAGE our early testing, too, and we found it – attributed it to “incompetence”, and then we farmed out testing to a lot of different private outfits to BEAT THE COMMIES?
Let me explain why this was so profound. There was a very cunning unity in all of this.
Contaminated test kits from Korea and China seemed explicable as sabotage, but incompetence is always there, and if we are GENEROUS and use stupid Hanlon’s Razor and remain (for the sake of this mental exercise) deliberately ignorant, then we just say “Korean and Chinese incompetence”.
NOW, when CDC test kits were contaminated, and America was left blind on coronavirus (remember, Rod Rosenstein’s sister, “Neutron Nancy” Messonnier was in charge?), that also looked like “government incompetence”.
That was at the end of February. By April, all hell had broken loose between CDC problems and the media doing their best to create panic. Note that problems were found both overseas AND in the United States. In some cases, contamination was with the virus ITSELF.
Here is more recent information on the CDC problems. An internal investigation of THEIR kits looks like reagent contamination, NOT live virus. COUGH. Not sure what to believe. COUGH.
Maryland Gov. Larry Hogan speaks at a news conference on Monday in Annapolis, Md., with his wife, Yumi Hogan (right), where the governor announced Maryland has received a shipment from a South Korean company to boost the state’s ability to conduct tests for COVID-19 by 500,000. Brian Witte/AP
Note that Hogan’s wife was part of this deal.
Generally speaking, [South] Korean test kits have gotten high marks and swift approval.
HOWEVER, a few things:
not all test kits must be contaminated
contamination need not be by the manufacturer
not all test kits must travel through the “innocent” supply chain
the Koreans can be completely innocent here – and it’s GREAT cover
kits and personnel can be contaminated up to the moment of testing
the kits themselves are not the only way to skin the cat on using TESTING as a means of infection
You with me? Contamination of testing materials and infection of seniors can be very smart and evil. But let’s look closer at Hogan.
Something bothers me about mandated testing, just like Cuomo’s mandated NOT testing. Fixing what “ain’t broke” is a classic way to break things and get away with it. The COVER of motive DENIAL is right there. And Hogan’s M.O. gets around the problem that nailed Nursing Home Killer – the fact that he ordered NO TESTING – an undeniable expression of INTENT.
Here, Hogan is ordering TESTING. His CONCERN seems to be, in reality [we think – where is the data?], very paradoxically, CAUSING DEATHS, but you can’t really prove it.
It’s SO SNEAKY.
But the big deal here for me is that Nursing Home Killer Cuomo having to go to sending infected people back into nursing homes is explained by the idea of a GOAL of creating a huge problem in nursing homes, which he was UNABLE to accomplish in a SNEAKIER WAY.
He was SUPPOSED to do it by murderous testing
He could not deliver
He was forced into a more exposed method
This all makes sense if China’s end of the bargain was releasing the virus and making it look like an onion of denial – first natural, then a lab accident, but never as a PLANNED release made to look like an accident.
China upheld THEIR end of the bargain, and TOOK HEAT. Democrats must uphold THEIR end of the bargain, and must take RISKS to make the Plannedemic worse.
Now, it would appear that Hogan’s people have figured out a way to “test to death” people in nursing homes. They may be able to cook the books to hide responsibility, but MAYBE NOT.
Let’s hope that “maybe not” is what happens, if there really was a plot to kill, piggybacked into Governor Hogan’s “plausibly laudable” testing.
We NEED an investigation that looks at mandated testing versus deaths AS A FUNCTION OF TIME, down to the DAY, maybe the HOUR. The TIMELINES should get them, if this is REALITY.
W
NPR defends Hogan. NPR defends Gugino.
Hmmmmm.
[ PS – Remember – all these dead people will be voting DEMOCRAT! ]
I was originally going to entitle this post something else – something cuter and more grandiose about “my life-long sword-fight with Occam’s razor“. Hence the opening image. However, that goal was WAY too big for a blog post. I could literally write a book on it.
The fact is, I have MANY issues with Occam’s razor in science and other forms of investigation, and most of them don’t deal with deception. They deal with progress in science, more than anything else. Although the modern intrusions of leftist deception politics into science are changing that balance very rapidly.
Some scientists tend to shave too closely with Occam’s razor. Nothing grows. There is no imagination – no progress. It is easier to sit tight on a small set of highly validated principles, and not reach out to try something new.
Others don’t shave at all, and “fluffy” no-way-in-hell theory grows with abandon. Such theories approach the ad hoc nature that Occam’s razor was specifically intended to prevent. Instead of angels on pinheads, embarrassing numbers of never-to-be-found particles and whatnot are predicted, proposed, or just rumored.
Those are big topics. Addressing all of that, plus the use of Occam’s razor for deception, would be a tall order. Best left for our wonderful commenters, already discussing these things just on the rumor of my finally posting this piece.
While sleeping on this post (earlier), I realized that I needed to keep things simple, and ONLY talk about how Occam’s razor behaves under deception. Thus, I came up with a much simpler and more powerful statement of the principle at hand. Then, I decided to pound that statement into people’s heads, by repeating it, over and over.
Occam’s razor is a tool of deception.
Wolf Moon
Actually, that’s not giving credit where credit is due.
Occam’s razor is a tool of deception.
Anonymous author of KGB-CIA manual read by various people Wolf Moon has known
Actually, that’s not big enough. It needs to be a nice big headline.
Occam’s razor is a tool of deception.
There. That’s better! And THAT is why I changed the title. If I’m going to repeat a headline over and over, why not just make it the title, too? That way people won’t have to dig for it. The conclusion is RIGHT THERE. To review for the big picture, people don’t even have to re-read this post.
Now, I can’t tell you ALL of the reasons why I believe this, but my motto serves as a kind of proof that the opening image and would-be title are justified – that I’ve had to FIGHT Occam’s razor all my life. Indeed, I chose my motto carefully, after years of fighting my way up from a state of blissful ignorance, to one of satisfied but battle-scarred awareness.
It is better to be right than to be believed.
Wolf Moon
Being right does not come easily in this world, because DECEPTION is everywhere. And deception is everywhere for a beautiful reason, which a better understanding of OCCAM’S RAZOR makes clear:
Occam’s razor is a protector of deception.
Yeah. You’re going to hear that a LOT of things linking Occam’s razor not with FINDING truth, but rather with HIDING truth.
So what the hell IS Occam’s razor? Other than a tool of deception?
OK – that’s not really Occam’s razor. This is more like it.
When we are faced with more than one hypothesis that explains the data equally well, we choose the simpler explanation.
Occam’s razor
Now, the fact that many CORRECT answers ARE complex, and so many simple ones fail, or at least it sure SEEMS that way, makes the following cartoon funny.
We see in the cartoon an idea that LOOKS like Occam’s razor because it deals with simple versus complex, but also seems to say the opposite. Yet the cartoon seems to say something intuitively obvious and wearily true – that many answers are simple but wrong, and the fewer that ARE correct, are generally complicated.
This seems at first to be at odds with Occam’s razor, but it’s not – because it’s NOT Occam’s razor, nor is it a derivative thereof. It just looks like Occam’s razor. Stop for a moment and think about that. The cartoon is talking about the fact that it sure seems to us humans that REAL answers tend to be few and complex – while too-simple and WRONG answers seem to abound. That is MUCH DIFFERENT from saying that for TWO OR MORE theories that explain the same set of facts, the SIMPLEST theory tends to be correct.
In fact, if you CONFUSE these two principles, then you have just seen why
Occam’s razor is a tool of deception.
That is worth an explanation. You see, there is an old saw about simple versus complex. It’s called Occam’s razor. When people talk about simple versus complex, they ALMOST ALWAYS cite Occam’s razor. So if a person does a cartoon about simple versus complex, and they say something that seems to be both TRUE and the OPPOSITE of Occam’s razor, it looks like a paradox – like Occam’s razor is “wrong or something”.
Well, it’s the “or something”. The cartoon has successfully, without trying very hard, mimicked Occam’s razor. And MIMICRY is a form of DECEPTION. You were led into a mistake by a cartoon.
Thus, in a very ironic way, the ubiquity of Occam’s razor ITSELF was used to deceive. The SIMPLEST answer – “a person talking about simple versus complex is talking about Occam’s razor” – was used to deceive you, and then lead you past deception to paradox, at which point you do a “WTF” and laughed.
Now – there are MANY WAYS to express the principles underlying the fact that
Occam’s razor is a tool of deception.
One of the simplest is the one that our own wheatietoo uses all the time. This is the idea that
Occam’s razor can fail when you don’t have all the information.
And if somebody WANTS it to fail for you, this is WHY
Occam’s razor is a tool of deception.
As an example, let’s consider the “Bigfoot” example above.
“A hairy creature in the woods is more likely a bear than Bigfoot.” -Occam’s Razor
If you see an upright, bipedal, very hairy creature in the woods, you have almost certainly seen a BEAR. We have an ordinary explanation. No need to state anything fancy. THAT is Occam’s razor, right there.
But what if the “hairy creature in the woods” had a flat face and no snout – basically a hominid face – and this was seen with extreme clarity, so there is almost no possibility for error? If that is the case, then the simple explanation of a bear goes out the window. There is the possibility of a highly deformed or accidentally de-snouted bear, but such a thing will not live long in the wild. A truly flat-faced bear is pretty much DOA at birth. HOWEVER, we can switch to the SIMPLER theory that it’s a GORILLA – possibly escaped from a zoo – and we have basically been rescued by Occam’s razor.
But let’s not stop there. Let’s say that the thing was seen with extreme clarity. The witness KNOWS what a gorilla looks like, and it was NOT a gorilla. Let’s say that we have a clear enough view of it that it looks exactly like “Bigfoot”.
Now – we can believe two things here.
It was a “real” Bigfoot.
It was somebody in a Bigfoot suit, DECEIVING US.
Which one of these alternatives is the one favored by Occam’s razor? That is actually a very good question. To an honest naturalist in the woods of Washington or Oregon in 1910, when “cryptozoology” was still somewhat possible, a “real” animal of some sort would have seemed more likely. The idea of somebody using a suit to deceive a naturalist would have sounded fantastic, and would require far more explanation than a new species of animal.
But in 2010, with many more “Bigfoot costumes” in existence than reported visual sightings of Bigfoot in all of history, the prediction FLIPS, because we have NEW INFORMATION. We have to allow for DECEPTION as a kind of additional information.
BIGFOOT DECEPTION is now ORDINARY. BIGFOOT REALITY remains rather EXTRAORDINARY.
Now – what if you’re a modern person, but your knowledge is like that of a naturalist in 1910? What if you are not AWARE of what deceptions are POSSIBLE? In that case you will use Occam’s razor on the WRONG DATA SET. You will be DECEIVED, and Occam’s razor, operating on insufficient data, will AID THE DECEPTION.
This is how magic works, folks. The SIMPLE and OBVIOUS explanation is WRONG. Hidden complexity is used to FOOL YOU. YOU don’t have all the information. By HIDING information, you are led to USE Occam’s razor with too little information, and come to the wrong conclusion.
Now with magic, we know we are being fooled. But then again, nobody has to TELL YOU that you are experiencing a magic show.
Welcome to DISINFORMATION.
And this is the most important part. It doesn’t have to be something extraordinary like Bigfoot. I could just be trying to convince you of an ordinary fact. That is not true.
Let me repeat that. If I try to convince you of an OBVIOUS, SIMPLE NON-EXTRAORDINARY THING, but it’s really a complicated, deceptive story that benefits me, Occam’s razor just turned into MY advantage, and MY survival tool.
Two words.
Insect mimicry.
The simple explanation is that it’s a THORN. It’s not. It’s a LEAF-HOPPER.
The simple explanation is that it’s a LEAF. It’s not. It’s a BUTTERFLY.
The simple explanation is that it’s a BEE. It’s not. It’s a FLY.
The simple explanation is that it’s LICHEN. It’s not. It’s a MOTH.
The simple explanation is that it’s a FLOWER PETAL. It’s not. It’s a SPIDER / MANTIS / ASSASSIN BUG.
If you look MORE CLOSELY at any one of these, you get MORE INFORMATION, and go “OH SHIT, LOOK AT THAT!” and see the coolness of the DECEPTION. What has happened is that MORE INFORMATION changed the output of Occam’s razor. You now have MORE FACTS.
One might say that:
Occam’s razor is dependent upon the observer, whereas truth is not.
Now – back to an explanation of Occam’s razor which deals with “ordinary” versus “extraordinary”:
One has to be very careful here. ORDINARY and EXTRAORDINARY are likely to flip back and forth as FACTS BECOME KNOWN, as our EXPERIENCE with those facts increases, and as the validity of those facts CHANGES.
BLACK HOLES were at one time EXTRAORDINARY. Now they are NOT.
Relativistic effects in general were at one time EXTRAORDINARY. Now they are NOT.
Atomic energy was at one time EXTRAORDINARY. Now it is NOT.
Talking to somebody on the other side of the world was once EXTRAORDINARY. Now it is ORDINARY.
Aluminum was at one time EXTRAORDINARY and PRECIOUS. Now it is COMMON and can be used for TIN FOIL HATS.
There is a reason the INTELLIGENCE AGENCIES try to stay ahead of the curve, BUELLER. It is so THEY have all the FACTS and YOU DON’T.
Are you starting to see the picture now?
KNOWLEDGE IS POWER WHEN THE OTHER PERSON DOESN’T HAVE IT.
In other words, it’s not really knowledge that is power. It’s a DIFFERENTIAL in knowledge that is power.
Now – put this in reality terms. This point about Ordinary vs. Extraordinary is very important for assisting DECEPTION. If I can HIDE the formerly extraordinary as MY ordinary, I can almost guarantee that the SUCKER will pick the known ORDINARY explanation. But if I LOSE the SECRET of my extraordinary, it becomes the TARGET’S ordinary, and they are no longer fooled.
WELCOME TO MY WORLD.
Now – even in deception, Occam’s razor still operates. If you have all the information, and there are two ways you can be fooled, the SIMPLER ONE is probably the RIGHT ONE.
If you are being deceived about ORDINARY STUFF and there are competing ORDINARY EXPLANATIONS, you are very likely to MISS EVERYTHING. The same goes for TWO COMPETING EXTRAORDINARY EXPLANATIONS. If there is deception, you can use Occam’s razor to pick the wrong one, by picking the SIMPLER of the two, if you don’t know all the facts.
And THAT is where we are led into one of the most EXTRAORDINARY events in modern history.
Next time, in:
9/11: From Believer to Skeptic
See you then!
W
“History is a great teacher, but she makes us do a LOT of homework.”
As I’ve said before in the VLWC series, we discover nothing new, but we do rediscover what has been hidden from us by time and craftier people. Over and over, the truth is hidden and revealed.
Somewhere, a Soviet KGB analyst rediscovered this timeless principle, marveled at it, and filed it away for his next chapter in their manual. Or maybe it was CIA. Hard to tell the difference sometimes.
Today, I (re)name a timeless principle of disinformation not for a DISCOVERER, nor for a USER, but rather for a VICTIM.
Darkness to light.
This is actually a special case of a larger and more general principle involving Occam’s razor, which I am treating in a more extensive post. But for now, this will do. I marveled at this special case, awakened to the greater totality of 9/11, and why this operation was undoubtedly felt necessary by OUR adversary – those who plot treachery in the dark and war against God.
When the cause of an operation is too advanced or subtle to be detected by an adversary, Occam’s razor will point them to the most likely known potential cause, and this will be accepted and defended by them as the logical explanation.
Eckert’s Law
Happy Thanksgiving, Beverly. Justice is served.
W
There is a tribe that would not take their money either, Beverly. Only the tribes that value Truth over money truly begin to understand the Great Mystery. Just as that tribe is to be respected, so is yours. -W
