Tag: science

Dear MAGA: 20190922 Open Topic

This very special
What Trumps Intelligence? SUNDAY open thread

is VERY OPEN – a place for everybody
to post whatever they feel they would like
to tell the White Hats, and the rest of the KAG!KMAG world.

Header photo credit: Akiane

Say what you want, comment on what other people said,
comment on people’s comments.
Keep it civil.  Treehouse rules, but expect lots of QAnon.

See the January 1st daily thread for the rules of the road,
which are few but important.

Remember – your greatest gift to President Trump is FIVE WORDS:
I AM PRAYING FOR YOU

melania_and_trump_smile-at-podium

What Trumps Intelligence?

There’s been much talk of research into artificial intelligence (AI) being important to various nations for national security reasons. We’ve seen recent speculation about body doubles or even clones for some influential but elderly persons.

There has been discussion about the work of researchers here and abroad attempting to merge human and machine as the next step in our evolution. And some independent voices have been suggesting that those who desire power and dominion in our world are seeking methods for creating soulless humanoids that would be easier to control.

Let’s ask some questions about the appropriateness of the focus of these discussions. Are youth, embodiment and intelligence actually the keys to much of anything after all?
albert-einstein-head
Let’s talk about I.Q. Around the same time as eugenics became a hot topic among the (godless) elite in academia (Salk, Stanford), the all -hallowed TESTING (Wolf!) of children to identify those with high I.Q. was pursued as the way towards the best future for humanity. In fact, this was the beginning of almost 50 years of forced sterilization or even institutionalizing of supposed low I.Q. women to prevent them from creating more “low I.Q.” children.
A sad and shameful blight on our history based on wrong thinking that did not prove out. Did you know that activism and papers written here in the USA at that time became the inspiration for Hitler’s eugenics programs?
US Eugenics influenced Nazis.png
However, you have likely seen for yourself that a very clever person who has not developed genuine strength of character is often merely a more successful predator and/or criminal.
Later research was published indicating that your I.Q. score has little or no correlation to success or fulfillment in real life. The willingness to apply oneself, develop skills and good character traits all come into play when looking at the basis for enjoying a good life.
Some researchers still think those with high I.Q. have better success in life, but admit they may struggle more with certain health issues.
Mensa IQ not protective from mood disorders

May I propose that what actually trumps the #FAKE siren song of increasing our INTELLIGENCE will be elicited by discarding the FAILED materialistic model of reality pushed on us by #FAKE SCIENCE and returning to the world view of the mystics where reality is found in a living, energetic, conscious universe.


Returning to such a world view immediately remedies many of the evils of this present age–nearly effortlessly. If the universe itself and all that inhabits it are energetically and consciously interconnected, then everything matters, everything is to be given a voice, some consideration, a say in the process in which we find ourselves.

Canticle of Brother Sun and Sister Moon by St. Francis of Assisi
Most High, all-powerful, all-good Lord,
All praise is Yours, all glory, all honour and all blessings.
To you alone, Most High, do they belong,
and no mortal lips are worthy to pronounce Your Name.
Praised be You my Lord with all Your creatures,
especially Sir Brother Sun,
Who is the day through whom You give us light.
And he is beautiful and radiant with great splendour,
Of You Most High, he bears the likeness.
Praised be You, my Lord, through Sister Moon and the stars,
In the heavens you have made them bright, precious and fair.
Praised be You, my Lord, through Brothers Wind and Air,
And fair and stormy, all weather’s moods,
by which You cherish all that You have made.
Praised be You my Lord through Sister Water,
So useful, humble, precious and pure.
Praised be You my Lord through Brother Fire,
through whom You light the night
and he is beautiful and playful and robust and strong.
Praised be You my Lord through our Sister, 
Mother Earth who sustains and governs us,
producing varied fruits
with colored flowers and herbs.
Praise be You my Lord
through those who grant pardon for love of You
and bear sickness and trial.
Blessed are those who endure in peace,
By You Most High, they will be crowned.
Praised be You, my Lord through Sister Death,
from whom no-one living can escape.
Woe to those who die in mortal sin!
Blessed are they She finds doing Your Will.
No second death can do them harm.
Praise and bless my Lord and give Him thanks,
And serve Him with great humility.

With a holy awe silencing our drives to mold the world into that which would please ourselves the most, we begin to allow the more subtle essences of Creation to guide us.

We do not abuse others, using them for our pleasure with a total disregard for the consequences such soul-stealing acts initiate within and around all that is touched by the spiritual, mental, emotional and physical darkness we are empowering.
We become more thoughtful when we encounter ethical questions about killing babies in the womb, snowflake babies, IVF, human cloning, baby farms, sexual abuse of babies and children, the use of embryonic stem cells in vaccines, the use of aborted baby tissue in cosmetics, the suggestion of outright cannabalism as a solution for “climate change.”
If all of Creation is an interconnected, conscious and living Unity, we cannot respond as Cain and say, “Am I my brother’s keeper?” as that implies we have the power to “divorce” ourselves from the greater totality of existence. To vainly attempt to create our own mini-universe where we happily exclude all that we personally reject about reality.

Not even satan has succeeded in fully escaping the winsome pull of the beauty and sheer goodness of Heaven’s essence which are embedded holographically into the very smallest quarks in Creation and it has driven him mad. We become fools if we imagine we have the power to do so ourselves.
Think*3
Mountain lake with rustic cabin, mountains, and classic white church around the lake.
May we see our world with Heaven’s eyes.

Grey Swan Event Flock – Why Nothing Can Stop What's Coming

There is a guy on Hillary’s side, who saw Trump coming – like a sky filled with bombers – but nobody listened. He published his theory of the “danger” of a Trump victory on May 26, 2016.

https://www.nytimes.com/2016/05/26/opinion/campaign-stops/the-fears-trump-needs.html

While the author, Ross Douthat, didn’t exactly realize what Trump was up to, nor the fact that Trump was going to win, nor even WHY Trump was going to win – he was remarkably close, compared to most of “left-world”. I don’t think Douthat realized that (1) he (Douthat) was not actually looking at the right gray swans, and (2) TRUMP was the one generating the gray swans, through intellect, cunning, love, and sheer hard work.

Douthat believed that, rather than by one, big, unforeseen cataclysmic event – i.e., a “black swan” – a string of uncertainty-generating random-ish events could “accidentally” put Trump in the White House.

The reality is that Trump – grabbing and working HUNDREDS if not THOUSANDS of gray swan OPPORTUNITIES – coalesced them all into a comfortably large margin of tiny wins, including unforeseen victories in multiple swing states, to become the 45th President of the United States of America.

This “gray swan” view of the world – the idea that the world can be changed by a stream of perhaps uncommon but not rare events – is key to two things – both of which have high impact in my life:

  • The Plan, as in “Trust the plan.”, as in Q.
  • the slow, steady work of the “event people”, as I call them – but you might know them as “the Deep State”, or perhaps the people who killed Jeffrey Epstein, JFK, RFK, MLKJ, Ron Brown, and many others.

Trump’s path to 2016 victory could actually be viewed as part of “The Plan”, and I would certainly view it that way. But that is just the beginning, in my current opinion.

“The Plan” is actually much bigger than Trump.

MUCH, MUCH BIGGER.

So how do I know this?

Because I believed Q when he said “You have more than you know.”

3570
[C]oats Before [D]eclas
Q!!mG7VJxZNCI1 Aug 2019 – 1:22:36 PM
[C] before [D].
[C]oats before [D]eclas.
The month of AUGUST is traditionally very HOT.
You have more than you know.
Q

Q’s last post before 8chan was shut down by the enemy

So – where do I begin? How about Q Day – August 17, 2019?

Harry Lime
August 17, 2019 at 05:17

The Bob Lazar interviews are fascinating. He claims to have worked at Area 51 on alien spacecrafts and he is very convincing. The technology he describes is kind of mind-blowing.
This body language dude is a little goofy but he does a decent job of analyzing the interviews. It takes a few minutes to get going…the actual interviews start around 2 minutes and fifty seconds into the video…

[see video below]

Liked by you and 9 other people

https://wqth.wordpress.com/2019/08/17/dear-kmag-20190817-open-topic/comment-page-1/#comment-232945

Now, I’m going to repeat that video here, but I will just preface things by saying that learning about Bob Lazar was a kind of “gray swan event” for me. It’s a predictable but uncommon critical event. It was evidence meeting a mind that was uniquely ready for it.

It was “UFO stuff” hitting me as edge science with which I was somewhat familiar.

I have traditionally avoided “UFO” stuff. Yes, at various, sporadic times, I’ve read bits and pieces with a kind of curious, almost morbid interest, but INVARIABLY I get to the point of being “turned off” by the cult-like, phenomenal nature of it all. Too many crazies. Too many new-agers. Too many – as Bob Lazar puts it – BAT SHIT CRAZY people. They seem like very nice people, but they also seem very crazy – much more than I could possibly be myself. It makes me start to think that NONE OF IT IS REAL. And yet the idea that it’s NOT REAL simply flies in the face of the most basic scientific and even (strange yet important) religious logic.

What this is, is actually rather profound. It is direct evidence of the psychologically unsettling nature of the ET problem – a demonstration of its power. It may even be a demonstration of how little we understand.

Many people who follow the field do seem like curious, interested, investigatory people. Some also seem like honest witnesses who have had legitimate odd experiences, which are temptingly explained by equally odd theories.

But some people – who blithely talk about hundreds of abductions – well – I simply have my doubts.

ALTHOUGH – when I approach the problem from a technological standpoint – I could see how CREATING such people would not only be possible, but also very useful. It would be the ultimate living disinformation – and, ironically, it protects its own creation – the mark of truly MASTERFUL disinformation. You have to BELIEVE the person about some initial encounter to explain why the rest of what they are saying is NOT TO BE BELIEVED.

Kinda evil, when you think about it.

I don’t doubt ALL of the “abduction” stories. The Barney and Betty Hill story, I believe strongly. I will come back to that, at some point, if only because I HAVE TO COME BACK TO IT.

I’m not even sure I really WANT to believe. Aliens are kinda scary. Indeed, I have actually been a DEBUNKER at times. I’m particularly good at debunking moving and reflected lights. The first time I solved a “reflected light UFO video”, I was ECSTATIC. I felt “better than Snopes”, because I debunked with absolutely no agenda – neither “confirmation bias” nor “debunking bias” (and trust me – nobody ever talks about “debunking bias”, or “anti-confirmation bias”, but it is VERY REAL). Seriously, I would have LOVED for that light to have been a real UFO – but I proved the other side because THE TRUTH HAS NO AGENDA.

The trouble with Bob Lazar, however, is that not only was he very believable – what he said made sense to me in ways that go way beyond why almost anybody else on the planet would believe him. I simply have hidden knowledge matching up to his story.

Bob Lazar began to solve nearly all the mysteries of my life in ONE VIDEO. This one. As I will explain in a moment.

If you want to go back and see all the comments that fell out of this video, go to the following link:

https://wqth.wordpress.com/2019/08/17/dear-kmag-20190817-open-topic/comment-page-1/#comment-232945

My first comment, however, will give you a flavor of the rest:

wolfmoon1776
August 17, 2019 at 06:03

OMG – I just stopped playing this at 16:24, where they’re talking about element 115.

This connects to all the crap that happened around the time I underwent MK.

He says something about the island of stability stuff. THAT was the stuff that got me into trouble in the early 1980’s. I noticed MISSING THEORIES. Based on my understanding of history of science and science itself, I told my professor that there seemed to be missing theories in nuclear physics. It was a logical argument. Based on some existing theories, and the details of how they had originated, it was almost impossible that certain other similar theories didn’t exist – and yet there were no known theories of a certain type.

At that time I wasn’t particularly suspicious – I thought it might just be some kind of interesting historical “phenomenon” – like a random void in science itself (which is a very cool concept in information theory – how does one CREATE or MAINTAIN a void in information?) But I didn’t know WHY it would be missing. I didn’t think that there was any reason to hide theories in that area. These are general science theories. There was not even a popular IDEA that some general theories were “off-limits”. People in science ASSUMED that certain TECHNOLOGY might be classified, but the idea that the most BASIC SCIENCE might be classified – THAT was unheard of back then.

Well, based on what this guy is saying, he is talking about stuff which would be elegantly explained by the theories I thought were missing. I know exactly what he is talking about, and he would have known exactly what I’m talking about.

Which is another tell. This guy acts just like a lot of scientists I’ve known. Just like normal. Just like he was in the lab next door explaining his stuff.

HOLY SHIT.

But his case also explains why they were interested in using MK on scientists, and presumably experimenting on it at the time. If you can keep their secret stuff compartmentalized, it can be protected. This guy (and maybe others) had gone off the ranch, and the military had a security problem. So they HANDED OFF THE PROBLEM to the CIA to deal with MK experiments. Which (from my point of view) are to some extent successful and to some extent not.

And everybody is still interested in these problems.

But OMG – I am so happy that:

– the class of theories I thought should have existed actually exist
– the theories work
– they would explain the island of stability
– there IS an island of stability
– elements in that island of stability create cool tech

HOLY SHIT! This stuff is REAL!

OK. Now I know why Cankles is in trouble!

She gave this shit to China! Without permission!

Liked by 15 people

https://wqth.wordpress.com/2019/08/17/dear-kmag-20190817-open-topic/comment-page-1/#comment-232960

Now – I’ve already modified my thinking on some of this, and things now make EVEN MORE SENSE. And that is why I am now talking to you all.

After I saw this Bob Lazar YouTube video, I decided to drop by a bookstore and see if I could find any of the Bob Lazar DVDs, as well as any other information on “alleged” alien propulsion technology, or “alleged” (or “fake science” “real”) information on higher post-actinides like element 115, now known as Moscovium. Information – disinformation – I can use it all.

I was VERY specifically looking for what I might call “REAL ALIEN STUFF”. I wanted things that were being dismissed along with the entire category, but were very likely real. Other stuff like Bob Lazar. Things that might seem bogus to most people, but would have the STENCH of awful reality to me.

And, OH, brothers and sisters, DID I FIND IT.

What I did NOT expect, was how utterly seamlessly this stuff integrated with all of the following:

  • my parents’ lives
  • my life, including childhood, education, and employment
  • history of science, including stuff that is rather obscure, but of which I have personal knowledge
  • the “real” history of the United States that I have pieced together after dumping fake news, fake entertainment, fake science, and fake history
  • the Q revelations
  • my personal readings and extensions of the Q revelations
  • the alleged “alien-free” Q history revealed through the following video:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XsaZF2E2uI4

Now – I want to be VERY careful here. I could mention or better still EXPLAIN many specifics from this book, and HOW they integrate with the things I described above. And, indeed, I WILL do that at some point. It will be very convincing. But CONVINCING YOU ALL is not what I want to do. I would prefer for you all to simply MAKE UP YOUR OWN MINDS.

I am stealing a page from Q, and asking you all to simply READ THIS BOOK and prepare to have your minds blown, by what amounts to “future proves past” on this 1997 book, which was itself relying on “future proves past” about 1947, 1962, and the surrounding years.

I believe that this book may have been part of PLANNED DISCLOSURE. Even the TIMING (50 years after Roswell) seems to have been part of the deal.

Now – it is important for me to address how this stuff affects – or more importantly does NOT affect our little site here.

We have a wide range of MAGA opinion here, across the entire spectrum of both RELIGION and SCIENCE. I am not going to try to “convince” anybody of things they either don’t believe, can’t believe, or don’t want to believe. However, as a free speech site, I will be discussing a lot of things which – AT ALL TIMES – some people absolutely WON’T BELIEVE.

That’s OK. It works that way for everybody. You can say what you think, and you WILL let others say what they think – without denigration or artful inhibitions – other than the first time, which will be the last time. Disagreement is fine – we cannot increase our understanding without it. Open disagreement is better, because if it’s not shared, what use is it? But we will have to let each other say disagreeable things, as I will explain momentarily.

I personally think we’ve done really well on this front – the art of enlightened discussion of hot topics – but this is going to move into new territory.

I am going to state the following in a “future proves past” way:

What is coming – which cannot be stopped – will shake up “what we know” and “how we know it” in profound ways.

However – WE – who are able to discuss BOTH science and religion FREELY – are uniquely prepared for this “rough ride”.

Those who can understand the future from the vantage points of both science and religion will have a much easier time moving into that future. Those who refuse to use one tool or the other will have far greater difficulties dealing with the future.

When I say this, I am including people who oppose either religion or science, but actually know something about what they oppose.

You will not have to give up your beliefs. You will have to re-understand them. You will have to SEE YOUR OWN BELIEFS DIFFERENTLY.

The curves of a changing reality will simply be too steep to allow people to remain exactly where they were before, absent running into the mountains and living in a shack, where CHANGE cannot find them.

In fact, it is imperative that you not give up your beliefs. The FUNDAMENTALS of those beliefs are important. Their being shaken up is an opportunity for opponents of those beliefs to make you “switch worldviews”. DON’T FALL FOR IT. That is my advice. The “hasty jump” is rarely wise. Maybe NEVER wise.

Now, I’m going to close by going back just slightly on what I said. One impression I got from the book is this:

America was blessed with WISE LEADERSHIP in both Harry Truman and Dwight Eisenhower. We are once again blessed with such leadership now, in President Donald J. Trump.

So with that, let The Q Tree Book Club begin!

W

https://www.barnesandnoble.com/w/the-day-after-roswell-philip-j-corso/1103252092

https://www.abebooks.com/book-search/isbn/9780671004613/

https://www.hpb.com/products/the-day-after-roswell-9780671004613

Occam's Razor, Tool of Deception

I was originally going to entitle this post something else – something cuter and more grandiose about “my life-long sword-fight with Occam’s razor“.  Hence the opening image.  However, that goal was WAY too big for a blog post.  I could literally write a book on it.

The fact is, I have MANY issues with Occam’s razor in science and other forms of investigation, and most of them don’t deal with deception.  They deal with progress in science, more than anything else.  Although the modern intrusions of leftist deception politics into science are changing that balance very rapidly. 

Some scientists tend to shave too closely with Occam’s razor.  Nothing grows.  There is no imagination – no progress.  It is easier to sit tight on a small set of highly validated principles, and not reach out to try something new.

Others don’t shave at all, and “fluffy” no-way-in-hell theory grows with abandon.   Such theories approach the ad hoc nature that Occam’s razor was specifically intended to prevent.  Instead of angels on pinheads, embarrassing numbers of never-to-be-found particles and whatnot are predicted, proposed, or just rumored.

Those are big topics.  Addressing all of that, plus the use of Occam’s razor for deception, would be a tall order.  Best left for our wonderful commenters, already discussing these things just on the rumor of my finally posting this piece.

While sleeping on this post (earlier), I realized that I needed to keep things simple, and ONLY talk about how Occam’s razor behaves under deception.  Thus, I came up with a much simpler and more powerful statement of the principle at hand.  Then, I decided to pound that statement into people’s heads, by repeating it, over and over.

Occam’s razor is a tool of deception.

Wolf Moon

Actually, that’s not giving credit where credit is due.

Occam’s razor is a tool of deception.

Anonymous author of KGB-CIA manual read by various people Wolf Moon has known

Actually, that’s not big enough.  It needs to be a nice big headline.

Occam’s razor is a tool of deception.

There.  That’s better!  And THAT is why I changed the title.  If I’m going to repeat a headline over and over, why not just make it the title, too?  That way people won’t have to dig for it.  The conclusion is RIGHT THERE.  To review for the big picture, people don’t even have to re-read this post.

Now, I can’t tell you ALL of the reasons why I believe this, but my motto serves as a kind of proof that the opening image and would-be title are justified – that I’ve had to FIGHT Occam’s razor all my life.  Indeed, I chose my motto carefully, after years of fighting my way up from a state of blissful ignorance, to one of satisfied but battle-scarred awareness.

It is better to be right than to be believed.

Wolf Moon

Being right does not come easily in this world, because DECEPTION is everywhere.  And deception is everywhere for a beautiful reason, which a better understanding of OCCAM’S RAZOR makes clear:

Occam’s razor is a protector of deception.

Yeah.  You’re going to hear that a LOT of things linking Occam’s razor not with FINDING truth, but rather with HIDING truth.

So what the hell IS Occam’s razor?  Other than a tool of deception?

OK – that’s not really Occam’s razor.  This is more like it.

When we are faced with more than one hypothesis that explains the data equally well, we choose the simpler explanation.

Occam’s razor

Now, the fact that many CORRECT answers ARE complex, and so many simple ones fail, or at least it sure SEEMS that way, makes the following cartoon funny.

We see in the cartoon an idea that LOOKS like Occam’s razor because it deals with simple versus complex, but also seems to say the opposite.  Yet the cartoon seems to say something intuitively obvious and wearily true – that many answers are simple but wrong, and the fewer that ARE correct, are generally complicated. 

This seems at first to be at odds with Occam’s razor, but it’s not – because it’s NOT Occam’s razor, nor is it a derivative thereof.  It just looks like Occam’s razor.  Stop for a moment and think about that.  The cartoon is talking about the fact that it sure seems to us humans that REAL answers tend to be few and complex – while too-simple and WRONG answers seem to abound.  That is MUCH DIFFERENT from saying that for TWO OR MORE theories that explain the same set of facts, the SIMPLEST theory tends to be correct.

In fact, if you CONFUSE these two principles, then you have just seen why

Occam’s razor is a tool of deception.

That is worth an explanation.  You see, there is an old saw about simple versus complex.  It’s called Occam’s razor.  When people talk about simple versus complex, they ALMOST ALWAYS cite Occam’s razor.  So if a person does a cartoon about simple versus complex, and they say something that seems to be both TRUE and the OPPOSITE of Occam’s razor, it looks like a paradox – like Occam’s razor is “wrong or something”. 

Well, it’s the “or something”.  The cartoon has successfully, without trying very hard, mimicked Occam’s razor.  And MIMICRY is a form of DECEPTION.  You were led into a mistake by a cartoon.

Thus, in a very ironic way, the ubiquity of Occam’s razor ITSELF was used to deceive.  The SIMPLEST answer – “a person talking about simple versus complex is talking about Occam’s razor” – was used to deceive you, and then lead you past deception to paradox, at which point you do a “WTF” and laughed.

Now – there are MANY WAYS to express the principles underlying the fact that

Occam’s razor is a tool of deception.

One of the simplest is the one that our own wheatietoo uses all the time.  This is the idea that

Occam’s razor can fail when you don’t have all the information.

And if somebody WANTS it to fail for you, this is WHY

Occam’s razor is a tool of deception.

As an example, let’s consider the “Bigfoot” example above. 

“A hairy creature in the woods is more likely a bear than Bigfoot.”
-Occam’s Razor

If you see an upright, bipedal, very hairy creature in the woods, you have almost certainly seen a BEAR.   We have an ordinary explanation.  No need to state anything fancy.  THAT is Occam’s razor, right there.

But what if the “hairy creature in the woods” had a flat face and no snout – basically a hominid face – and this was seen with extreme clarity, so there is almost no possibility for error?  If that is the case, then the simple explanation of a bear goes out the window.  There is the possibility of a highly deformed or accidentally de-snouted bear, but such a thing will not live long in the wild.  A truly flat-faced bear is pretty much DOA at birth.  HOWEVER, we can switch to the SIMPLER theory that it’s a GORILLA – possibly escaped from a zoo – and we have basically been rescued by Occam’s razor.

But let’s not stop there.  Let’s say that the thing was seen with extreme clarity.  The witness KNOWS what a gorilla looks like, and it was NOT a gorilla.  Let’s say that we have a clear enough view of it that it looks exactly like “Bigfoot”.

Now – we can believe two things here.

  • It was a “real” Bigfoot.
  • It was somebody in a Bigfoot suit, DECEIVING US.

Which one of these alternatives is the one favored by Occam’s razor?  That is actually a very good question.  To an honest naturalist in the woods of Washington or Oregon in 1910, when “cryptozoology” was still somewhat possible, a “real” animal of some sort would have seemed more likely.  The idea of somebody using a suit to deceive a naturalist would have sounded fantastic, and would require far more explanation than a new species of animal.

But in 2010, with many more “Bigfoot costumes” in existence than reported visual sightings of Bigfoot in all of history, the prediction FLIPS, because we have NEW INFORMATION.  We have to allow for DECEPTION as a kind of additional information.

BIGFOOT DECEPTION is now ORDINARY.  BIGFOOT REALITY remains rather EXTRAORDINARY.

Now – what if you’re a modern person, but your knowledge is like that of a naturalist in 1910?  What if you are not AWARE of what deceptions are POSSIBLE?  In that case you will use Occam’s razor on the WRONG DATA SET.  You will be DECEIVED, and Occam’s razor, operating on insufficient data, will AID THE DECEPTION.

This is how magic works, folks.  The SIMPLE and OBVIOUS explanation is WRONG.  Hidden complexity is used to FOOL YOU.  YOU don’t have all the information.  By HIDING information, you are led to USE Occam’s razor with too little information, and come to the wrong conclusion.

Now with magic, we know we are being fooled.  But then again, nobody has to TELL YOU that you are experiencing a magic show.

Welcome to DISINFORMATION.

And this is the most important part.  It doesn’t have to be something extraordinary like Bigfoot.  I could just be trying to convince you of an ordinary fact.  That is not true.

Let me repeat that.  If I try to convince you of an OBVIOUS, SIMPLE NON-EXTRAORDINARY THING, but it’s really a complicated, deceptive story that benefits me, Occam’s razor just turned into MY advantage, and MY survival tool.

Two words.

Insect mimicry.

The simple explanation is that it’s a THORN.  It’s not.  It’s a LEAF-HOPPER.

The simple explanation is that it’s a LEAF.  It’s not.  It’s a BUTTERFLY.

The simple explanation is that it’s a BEE.  It’s not.  It’s a FLY. 

The simple explanation is that it’s LICHEN.  It’s not.  It’s a MOTH.

The simple explanation is that it’s a FLOWER PETAL.  It’s not.  It’s a SPIDER / MANTIS / ASSASSIN BUG.

If you look MORE CLOSELY at any one of these, you get MORE INFORMATION, and go “OH SHIT, LOOK AT THAT!” and see the coolness of the DECEPTION.  What has happened is that MORE INFORMATION changed the output of Occam’s razor.  You now have MORE FACTS.

One might say that:

Occam’s razor is dependent upon the observer, whereas truth is not.

Now – back to an explanation of Occam’s razor which deals with “ordinary” versus “extraordinary”:

One has to be very careful here.  ORDINARY and EXTRAORDINARY are likely to flip back and forth as FACTS BECOME KNOWN, as our EXPERIENCE with those facts increases, and as the validity of those facts CHANGES.

BLACK HOLES were at one time EXTRAORDINARY.  Now they are NOT.

Relativistic effects in general were at one time EXTRAORDINARY.  Now they are NOT.

Atomic energy was at one time EXTRAORDINARY.  Now it is NOT.

Talking to somebody on the other side of the world was once EXTRAORDINARY.  Now it is ORDINARY.

Aluminum was at one time EXTRAORDINARY and PRECIOUS.  Now it is COMMON and can be used for TIN FOIL HATS. 

There is a reason the INTELLIGENCE AGENCIES try to stay ahead of the curve, BUELLER.  It is so THEY have all the FACTS and YOU DON’T.

Are you starting to see the picture now? 

KNOWLEDGE IS POWER WHEN THE OTHER PERSON DOESN’T HAVE IT.

In other words, it’s not really knowledge that is power.  It’s a DIFFERENTIAL in knowledge that is power.

Now – put this in reality terms.  This point about Ordinary vs. Extraordinary is very important for assisting DECEPTION.  If I can HIDE the formerly extraordinary as MY ordinary, I can almost guarantee that the SUCKER will pick the known ORDINARY explanation.  But if I LOSE the SECRET of my extraordinary, it becomes the TARGET’S ordinary, and they are no longer fooled.

WELCOME TO MY WORLD.

Now – even in deception, Occam’s razor still operates.  If you have all the information, and there are two ways you can be fooled, the SIMPLER ONE is probably the RIGHT ONE.

If you are being deceived about ORDINARY STUFF and there are competing ORDINARY EXPLANATIONS, you are very likely to MISS EVERYTHING.  The same goes for TWO COMPETING EXTRAORDINARY EXPLANATIONS.  If there is deception, you can use Occam’s razor to pick the wrong one, by picking the SIMPLER of the two, if you don’t know all the facts.

And THAT is where we are led into one of the most EXTRAORDINARY events in modern history.

Next time, in:

9/11: From Believer to Skeptic

See you then!

W

“History is a great teacher, but she makes us do a LOT of homework.”