Hanlon's Razor and The Mamet Principle Must Get Off Our Lawn

a guest post by our dear house guardian Suspicious Cat

NOTE FROM WOLF: This post may require some explanation.

After allowing my somewhat mythical and somewhat not mythical sister Fox Moon to have her guest post, our dear pet Suspicious Cat has demanded to have his post, too.

You see, Suspicious Cat considers himself to be NORMAL CAT, and the rest of us to be DUPEY HUMANS, HUMAN SHEEP, or TALL DUMB DOGS, depending upon how stupid we are about things. He just thinks that humans are the best deal he’s going to get, so he’s “covering the downside” by watching out for us. And OH YEAH, he would vote for TRUMP if Democrats would let him.

Anyway, Suspicious Cat thought I made an exceptionally cat-like, albeit “incomplete like quantum mechanics” thread on Twitter, and he’s demanding to post it here, since he knows that my Twitter account is highly throttled and shadow-banned by other Dupey, Sheep-Like, Tall, Dumb Dogs. So here you go. Enjoy being lectured by a mouthy pet who thinks even the Watch Dog is an idiot.

W

PART 1: Hanlon’s Dull Razor

Thanks, Wolf. I’ll take it from here.

Wolf made an interesting thread on Twitter yesterday, and I’d like to begin there. Actually, it started with his Twitter friend Girl Grimly, who noticed Maggie Haberman “playing dumb” on Trump’s strategy vis-a-vis Turkey, Erdogan and Syrian withdrawal.

https://twitter.com/ed_grimly/status/1181554466656571392

You will notice that there is a typically human non-sequitur here – “You cannot possibly be this stupid.” followed almost directly by “The globalist DC establishment is stupid.

Just like what happened repeatedly with that smarter human named Einstein, this very bright young lady “had it right the first time“.

They cannot possibly be this stupid.

Smart people are remarkably easy to fool. Particularly if you tell them they’re SMART. After that, you can deceive them in all kinds of ways. Trust me – I’m a PET. Laziest, most deceptive job on Earth. I know how this works.

Normally, Wolf doesn’t catch onto this stuff, but for some reason, this time he did. So here is what Wolf said in response. We will start from the top using IMAGES – not tweets, because eventually Girl Grimly will be banned from Twitter, and only the DNC and CIA will have access to her wisdom.

See how that works? And you people are STILL ON TWITTER. Ridiculous.

To which Wolf said (with ZERO engagement, of course)….

Social media for humans to vent, in combination with Fake News playing dumb, is an amazing control tool to keep humans in the kiddie pool. In a normal world run by household pets like me, Maggie Haberman would have been fired long ago for this crap. But she’s actually a pet to her masters, and she is intellectually lazy – ON COMMAND – to get her treats.

It really is “fake news”. It’s a way of controlling people. It is NOT real news. It’s a kind of movable jail without bars.

Anyway, despite the fact that nobody is ever going to see his postings on Twitter, Wolf rather stupidly kept yelling into the void.

Wolf made this point before – LOST in the void of TWITTER.

Thomas Wictor likes to use Hanlon’s Razor, and while Thomas is a smart person, remember what I said – SMART PEOPLE are among the easiest to fool.

Wolf’s explanation of the fallacy follows:

Wolf’s corrected maxim, “Stupidity is likely to explain misfortune where deception is highly unlikely.“, accounts for the intriguing fact that the smarter and more capable the deceiver is, relative to the deceived, the EASIER it is to rely on deception, which in the case in question would mean PLAYING DUMB. This is why deception has to be not just unlikely, but HIGHLY UNLIKELY, for Hanlon’s Razor to even BEGIN making sense. Otherwise, Hanlon’s Razor is BACKWARDS thinking.

Hanlon’s Razor….

“Never attribute to malice that which is adequately explained by stupidity.”

….is problematic because YOUR stupidity matters even more than the PRESUMED stupidity of the potential perpetrator of “whatever”. If the other party is smarter than YOU, then they can simply FEIGN STUPIDITY and you will TAKE THE BAIT.

They have ACHIEVED COVER.

I really have to admire the remarkable LULLING that Hanlon’s Razor accomplishes. To REMEMBER this deceitful malaphorism PROPERLY, remember it being whispered into a foolish king’s ear by your tribe’s mortal enemy, whoever that may be.

“I beg of thee, your Highness – remember thy own wisdom, as I have remembered it, and dare I say been served so well by such wise thought – that we must never attribute to malice that which is adequately explained by stupidity.”

“Oh, NOES! NEVAH!”

Sheesh.

THE CHUMPHOOD. IT BURNS.

Let’s go on.

Wolf hadn’t noticed this part about “malice”, THE LAST TIME he woke up on Hanlon’s Razor, only to be lulled back into “compliance”. I’m very glad he spotted it, because the “malice” part ALWAYS grated on my nerves.

Malice is a diversion – a presumption – a shiny object – a distraction.

The sleight of hand of asserting MALICE helps to sell the LIE that is Hanlon’s Razor.

If you’ve ever dealt with real criminals, like my previous owners (yes, I’m a rescue), then you understand that they are malicious about as often as good people. They just follow a simple rule:

The rules don’t matter if I don’t get caught breaking them.”

Crooks are actually somewhat lovable people. They have reasons for breaking the rules, just like others have reasons for following them. Malice is rarely part of the equation.

It’s hilarious, but there should be a FULL STOP in Hanlon’s Razor, the absence of which almost argues for its diabolical intelligence. We’ll use a different form that shows it more clearly:

“Never assume malice when stupidity will do.”

But look at it this far:

“Never assume malice….”

“WAYUL SURPRISE, SURPRISE, SURPRISE!”

You just assumed malice, as DIRECTED by the PROGRAMMING of the assertion.

Take a look at how this looks from the “perp side of the con job”….

“Never assume malice, but you just did, and your stupidity will do.”

Are you seeing this? I hope so. It really is time for you tall dogs to grow the XXXX up.

Let’s go on.

Wolf is onto the key point. Hanlon’s Razor is very useful for DELUDED SHEEP to keep themselves in line.

“Don’t worry about that bloody spot. Nobody was malicious! Somebody was just stupid!”

Do you see how this has the wonderfully deceptive property of being “not even wrong“, due to the false attribution of malicious intent from the start?

SIDEBAR:

Has anybody studied the theory of “dead-endedness” of theories, or of theoretical approaches? Would older civilizations have discovered this idea first? Would they be tempted to – well – use it, for – say – “mutual benefit”?

Just theoretically. Since we’re all talking about deception.

Think about it.

Suspicious Cat

So let’s bring this back to something we can remember and carry with us at all times.

And I’m not going to let you go to the water fountains from hour 1 of this class without some homework.

The link won’t work in the tweet image. Try these links. FIRST, a variety of translations of Matthew 10:16.

https://www.biblegateway.com/verse/en/Matthew%2010%3A16

Next, a useful exposition on it.

http://www.bible.ca/ef/expository-matthew-10-16.htm

SO, go take a break, and come back to the next step – how to GO BEYOND the Mamet Principle, using Hanlon’s Broken Razor as a BEATER SCREWDRIVER.


PART 2: Beyond The Mamet Principle

OK, class. There is a reason that we’re back here.

We need to bust not just one, but TWO ideas. The problem is, the second one is actually EXTREMELY useful as a “spotting scope”, but it is NOT accurate as a RANGE-FINDER.

What I am talking about is the Mamet principle, something which was LOOSELY stated by liberal-turned-conservative playwright David Mamet.

“In order to continue advancing their illogical arguments modern liberals have to pretend not to know things…”

Sundance, paraphrasing David Mamet in his book “The Secret Knowledge”

Wolf was taught this idea by SUNDANCE at The Last Refuge. Sundance uses it A LOT. Wolf LOVES it. So much so, that he made that MEME above, which alludes to the Mamet Principle using the idea that liberals utterly ignore Uranium One and the payoffs that Hillary Clinton received, to the tune of 146 million dollars. Liberals who still support Hillary Clinton LITERALLY pretend that these things didn’t happen, and/or don’t matter. The meme is designed to make liberals UNCOMFORTABLE WITH THE PRETENSE.

For some background on the Mamet Principle, [Go Deep] here:


https://theconservativetreehouse.com/2011/06/13/hollywood-lefty-comes-to-the-light-of-conservatism-lunch-with-david-mamet/
https://theconservativetreehouse.com/2013/01/27/yes-this-david-mamet-talks-gun-control/
https://theconservativetreehouse.com/2017/02/09/medias-use-of-mamet-principle-running-on-autopilot/
https://theconservativetreehouse.com/2017/07/03/cnn-highlights-use-of-mamet-principle-fraud-news-cnn-remains-fraud-news-cnn/comment-page-1/
https://theconservativetreehouse.com/2018/07/16/mamets-girl-personified-a-brain-dead-liberal-a-cliche-cue-the-audio-visual/
https://theconservativetreehouse.com/2019/08/07/congressman-joaquin-castro-doubles-down-on-intent-to-target-president-trump-supporters/

Now, recently, Wolf started to WAKE UP on an idea – the idea that one can USE the Mamet Principle like ALGEBRA to SOLVE for what liberals are ACTUALLY DOING.

This is sometimes a scary thought, as you will see. When liberals PRETEND things, it is comfortable to think that they’re just being ILLOGICAL. What is NOT comfortable is realizing that they are actually pursuing something, and that their LIES are actually LOGICAL in that pursuit.

It is very important to DIVORCE the “brain-dead fronts” themselves from the liberal propaganda. Maxine Waters and Beto O’Rourke may be fronting the illogic, but if you let them personify it, you may have trouble appreciating the STALIN or the BERIA or the HOLDER or the AXELROD behind it.

Here is Wolf on Twitter again, as he was starting to see this. Let’s track his understanding as it grows.

You can see here that Wolf was starting to get beyond the illogic – to see their LOGIC. The leftists WANT the political violence. That is a HARD PILL TO SWALLOW. It means they’re BOLSHEVIKS. It is much easier – much more comfortable – to think they’re stupid.

Their IDEAS and LYING GOALS interpreted at face value may be illogical, but the PEOPLE are not. Perhaps the “brain-dead fronts” who PARROT the ideas are illogical and stupid, but NOT the people behind the situation.

THEY HAVE A PLAN.

Now look at this two-tweet response to Thomas Wictor. You have to follow it to Twitter, to see Thomas’s “missing” tweets, all nice and linked up in a row and weirdly accounted for, yet somehow invisible. It is extremely reasonable to presume that Thomas’s TWEET DATA is still on Twitter, usable by DNC and CIA. But WE cannot see it.

Kristin Welker’s FACE says more than 1000 words could possibly tell us.

THEY KNOW. THEY ARE NOT STUPID. It is not illogic. WE are the ones who are being illogical about THEM. We are not admitting that this Fake News Media is absolutely NOT ON OUR SIDE – meaning HUMANITY AS WE KNOW IT – and must be UTTERLY REJECTED.

Don’t assume THEY are stupid. Look hard. Look deep. Be humble. Who is REALLY being stupid? It is only by adopting THIS attitude that we can EVICT THEM from our lives.

Consider how the media CONSCIOUSLY slanders and CONSCIOUSLY psy-ops us, while simply pretending they are not. It’s worse than phony. It’s literally CRIMINAL but they get away with it by HIDING MALICE.

Here, Wolf talks about another Wolff, that horrible author of lies and malicious slander, who “pretends not to know” that he publishes assault garbage for a political agenda. Wolf also lays into another bad practice of the left in the publishing world, while he’s at it.

Perhaps the best place that Wolf actually put his new realization to use, as he was developing it, was PARKLAND. The entire operation depended on MASSIVE PRETENSE OF IGNORANCE.

Here is the first tweet of Wolf’s LONG THREAD on it.

The entire thread is captured HERE:

https://threadreaderapp.com/thread/968627407287652356.html

It turned out that the situation was even WORSE than that.

Wolf LATER applied the Mamet Principle, and seeing beyond it, to Twitter’s shadowbanning of conservatives. Another long thread HERE:

Here is where Wolf was starting to see the connection to Hanlon’s Razor:

Most recently, Wolf applied this idea of “logical lies behind Mamet principle apparent illogic” in dealing with a troll, who formed part of a three-way “conversation” (sort of) with Girl Grimly:


So WHERE ARE WE, people?

It’s very simple. DO NOT assume that the leftists are stupid. Yes, some of them ARE stupid, and THEY are the ones who make excellent FRONTS – a deception that buys time and opportunity for the more devious leftists.

When liberals “pretend not to know things”, don’t stop there. They are PLAYING STUPID or fronting a stupid position, but it is not the REAL position. Their stated goals are not the REAL goals.

FIND the real goals and STOP THEM from getting there.

Here is an actual plan of action.

  • when you hear illogic, realize that they pretend not to know
  • ask yourself why they would LOGICALLY do what they do
  • figure out what the LIE actually is, and WHY they are lying
  • explain the lie OPENLY to truth-tellers, to DISARM the left
  • work with other truth-tellers to END the source of the illogic

A perfect example of this technique, is how we shut down the Obama-Holder “Promise Programs” that were destroying due process (Trayvon Martin) and creating propaganda such as the Parkland massacre. The left had pretended not to know what was happening. We had to figure out what WAS happening – what the LIES actually were – and then STATE THEM OPENLY.

It was identifying the CONSPIRACY OF FEIGNED STUPIDITY and LIES behind #Parkland that put the Promise Programs in jeopardy.

  • find the indefensible reality behind the lies and illogic
  • accuse the left openly of the indefensible reality
  • end the indefensible reality without opposition

Why, it works so well, it’s almost TOO easy.

SC

How to make your own Robin Whiteboard memes: https://imgflip.com/memegenerator/190550378/Robin-Whiteboard

Dear MAGA: Open Topic 20190108

This special TRAINS AND TUNNELS TUESDAY open thread is VERY OPEN – a place for everybody to post whatever they feel they would like to tell the White Hats, and the rest of the MAGA world.

Say what you want, comment on what other people said, comment on people’s comments.  Keep it civil.  Treehouse rules, but expect lots of QAnon.


Remember – your greatest gift to President Trump is FIVE WORDS:

I AM PRAYING FOR YOU


See the January 1st daily thread for the rules of the road, which are few but important.


Today’s daily thread is dedicated to the utter weirdness of current events and the Q universe, wherein some people are thinking that “Wake Up” Maggie Haberman of yesterday’s tweet and “OH on the Q train” fame is being referred to in a poem by Edward Snowden’s girlfriend.

this brilliant bird
traveling through time’s tunnel
radiates her own light 
to combat the grey
saturated
full from the previous twelve
and excited for the next
her heart’s song spills into the new year
suggesting she continue to
be the light
that illuminates the path
of 2019

lsjourneys@gmail.com
https://www.lsjourney.com/?p=1129

Could things get weirder? They just may.  More on that later.

https://thedailycoin.org/2019/01/07/january-20-a-super-blood-wolf-moon-will-cross-over-america-on-the-2nd-anniversary-of-donald-trumps-inauguration/

W

Super Blood Wolf Moon.  Visible over all of America.  Not visible at all in China.

Dear MAGA: Open Topic 20190107

This special MAGGIE MONDAY open thread is VERY OPEN – a place for everybody to post whatever they feel they would like to tell the White Hats, and the rest of the MAGA world.

Say what you want, comment on what other people said, comment on people’s comments.  Keep it civil.  Treehouse rules, but expect lots of QAnon.


Remember – your greatest gift to President Trump is FIVE WORDS:

I AM PRAYING FOR YOU


See the January 1st daily thread for the rules of the road, which are few but important.


Today’s daily thread is dedicated to “Tee ’em up” Maggie Haberman of COMMUNIST FAKE NEWS, whose path to the top has enlightened us all.

Come to the Q side, Maggie! We’ve got beef jerky and flyover beer! 😉

W

I ain’t kidding. These gizmos WORK!

D5 Advance Warnings

Q just dropped 4 posts – 3 on D5-related matters and 1 on the border.

Here is the border / caravan / immigration post, just to get that out of the way.

Or in text….

!!mG7VJxZNCI ID: 4b8e5c No.4031007
Nov 25 2018 21:37:32 (EST)NEWBorder Security = National Security.
FY 2019 Defense Spending Bill
https://dod.defense.gov/News/SpecialReports/Budget2019.aspx
>>Budget Overview
Budget Reconciliation
https://www.countable.us/bills/hr7073-115
What if the House fails prior to majority change?
What vested auth does the Constitution grant a sitting President re: matters of NAT SEC?
Thank you, Mr. Soros.
Q

Q Post 2502

Looks like Soros, Venezuela, Russia, China, and the Communist DNC just walked into a trap.  By turning the border into a legitimate crisis – their WET DREAM – they unintentionally turned it into a bona fide national security issue – perfect for our VSGPOTUS to deal with in a more straightforward and Communist-proof fashion. 

Notice how the Communists JACKED UP the problem, and then when it got here, realizing their MISTAKE, they tried to tamp down all messaging – all photos and videos?  Seems like they figured out too late that they got set up.

Trump Boomerang Effect.  The Democrat Fake News deserves no less.

Now we go on to those other 3 posts.

Here is the image of the referenced Q post within Post 2499, shown more closely.

That post (the “Nothing can stop what is coming.” post) contained a reference to the well-known “Trump vs. The Establishment” video.  The post also put the CLINTON FOUNDATION straight in the crosshairs.  WELCOME TO FBIAnon.  I always thought that FBIAnon was the beta test for QAnon.  Now I think they were more like Part A the warm up and Part B the SHOW.

Back to the rest of the post.

Or in text:

Everything stated has a purpose.
Think timing of Tweet (above) v last drops [HouseOfCards] re: Maggie NYT re: WL ‘Maggie’ drops re: WL attack re: ‘Q’
Do you believe in coincidences?
Be ‘extremely’ vigilant in Dec.
See something.
Say something.
EXTREME PANIC IN [DC]
WWG1WGA!
Q

Q Post 2499

Note that a Trump tweet is referenced:

The same tweet as an active text embedding, for those who need text.

An amazing tweet.  Trump calls out the Clinton Foundation, and basically says (by quoting Andrew McCarthy) that the STATE DEPARTMENT was at its beck and call.

Remember who became Secretary of State AFTER Hillary’s embeds RESISTED former SoS Rex Tillerson, in regard to providing evidence to investigators.  No such problems with Secretary Pompeo. Note that this picture was taken during questioning of Secretary Hillary Clinton.

Now we understand ONE of the reasons that Tillerson was replaced.  The WITCH could not be prosecuted without STATE providing EVIDENCE to HUBER.

DONE.

Next, Maggie Haterman, the Politico flack (“Tee-em-up Maggie”) elevated to the NYT just for Hillary Clinton’s use before Hillary’s ascension, is referenced.  Q calls attention to the timing of the tweets.

Maggie, Minion of the Hildabeast, was allowed to attack Trump, Q and the prosecution, and NOW Trump and Q drop bombs to show that THE MEDIA is not journalism, but (IMHO) DEFENDERS OF COMMUNISM.

Lastly, a very disturbing warning.

Be ‘extremely’ vigilant in Dec.
See something.
Say something.
EXTREME PANIC IN [DC]
WWG1WGA!
Q

“Extreme panic in [DC]”

This means the PANIC is bigger than it was earlier. The first “Panic” posts were made around 9/11, and those were “frisky” times.

Huber testifying.  Comey testifying.  Yeah.  This means a LOT of people are worried about skeletons in closets.

And THAT explains the WARNING to be “extremely” vigilant.

Thankfully, we have this EASILY WATCHED venue called The Q Tree now, don’t we?

“See something.  Say something.”  So much EASIER to do that, now that we’re free of the troublemakers at CTH, is it not?  Why, it’s rather remarkable in hindsight.  Maybe we’re SUPPOSED to be here.

It’s worth considering.


Next, the very monumental Post 2500.

This post quotes the prior one, and includes THIS new section:

Or in text…

CORSI > [attempt infiltrate] Q
MUELLER > CORSI
CORSI PLEA DEAL
THERE ARE BAD PEOPLE WHO PRETEND TO BE GOOD.
Re_read drops re: WARNINGS
https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/new-book-by-trump-advisers-calls-out-the-presidents-embedded-enemies/2018/11/24/afcbd0fc-ede3-11e8-baac-2a674e91502b_story.html?utm_term=.80e6d1b24752
THOSE [MOST] WHO LEFT THE WH DID NOT HAVE A CHOICE.
FAKE NEWS.
FAKE MAGA.
TRANSPARENCY IS THE ONLY WAY.
PATRIOTS UNITED.
Q

Q Post 2500

The post deals mostly with Corsi, who is stated to have attempted to infiltrate Q, and it looks like he was doing so on Mueller’s behalf.  This is then linked up to the idea that many of the people who “left” the White House did NOT have a choice.  They were FAKE NEWS, FAKE MAGA. 

As Q says – TRANSPARENCY IS THE ONLY WAY.

Patriots united.  BOOM.


Finally, Post 2501.

The first part reviews what we know about classification NOT being able to hide crimes, errors, inefficiency, etc.  Surprisingly, OBAMA make this Executive Order in 2010.  There is indeed a bit of karma there.

The second part is the new information:

The big picture here is that Q is saying that Whitaker and the OIG (Horowitz) have approved the release of the FISA documents as requested by the HOUSE and ORDERED by Trump.

But will they be released BEFORE or AFTER the D5 testimony?  Yeah.  Think about THAT STUFF.  There is useful ambiguity here – which may INFLUENCE testimony.

Finally, the points of conflict with the UK and AUS are noted – that these countries were in truth only allied with PART of the United States – “selected divisions”, as Q calls them.

The Dems?  Deep State?  Let me tell you, I actually *KNOW* about this selective collaboration – these “selected divisions”.  I was never regarded as part of them – I do know that.  In fact, I was TARGETED BY and USED BY those “selected divisions” and their foreign allies.

So things are going to be interesting to me in particular.  VERY interesting.

I do NOT think that [Koala] means Cuddly Kudlow.  I know that much.  Pretty sure it’s a PLACE and maybe a COUNTRY and maybe SELECTED DIVISIONS.


One final point.  Post 2499 references Post 2498 containing a link to THIS Maggie Haberman tweet:

Or as an embedded tweet:

The basic meaning (where OH = “overheard”) is as follows:

Overheard on the intercom in the Q train: “Attention passengers. The intercom phone is for emergencies only, it is not for asking the conductor questions.”

Maggie Haberman, Twitter, Nov 20, 2018

Maggie MAY just be toying with Q supporters – the usual NYC snark.  I thought it was cute and funny.  But this woman is a friend of Hillary Clinton.  She can’t be so stupid not to realize that Hillary Clinton is not a nice person.  So it could be a “code-speak” message.  And if it IS some kind of code, OH could be OHIO.  But I can’t really see much more than that.

I’m interested in other interpretations.  This is somewhat unusual.  Maggie NYT may actually be passing information of some kind to somebody.  So your thoughts are appreciated.

That is all.  Let’s discuss.

W/WWG1WGA

IN GOD WE TRUST
Because God not only HAS a plan – God IS a plan.

In fact, GOD is THE plan.